Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:26:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x270d…ee74
crypto · 29 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses25 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day44.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.1% -9.6% 86% 52% -9.1%
≤30d 29 -0.1% -9.6% 86% 52% -9.1%
≤90d 29 -0.1% -9.6% 86% 52% -9.1%
all 29 -0.1% -9.6% 86% 52% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 52% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 14% -17.8%
15% -26.2% 7% -25.7%
20% -33.4% 7% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 64 history records