Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T20:12:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
27 0x270c…60bd crypto 91 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$78 (+5%) realized +$78 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate62%56W / 35L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day52.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +0.6% -9.0% 62% 54% -6.0%
≤30d 91 +0.6% -9.0% 62% 54% -6.0%
≤90d 91 +0.6% -9.0% 62% 54% -6.0%
all 91 +0.6% -9.0% 62% 54% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 54% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 47% -15.0%
15% -25.7% 43% -23.2%
20% -32.9% 38% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$17 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses56 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 91
History coverage2d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day52.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 91 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$29 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $26 +$20 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 26 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 26 $50 +$41 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 26 $15 +$13 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 26 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 26 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 26 $17 +$13 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $34 +$35 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 26 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 26 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 26 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 26 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 26 $26 +$34 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 26 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$8 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $30 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $17 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $17 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 216 history records