Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2709…20f5
crypto · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34,954 -66%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34,951 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$573
Realized−$34,951
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses36 / 535
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)571 / 82
Avg bet$649
Trades / day3425.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34,951
7 days−$34,951
14 days−$34,951
30 days−$34,951
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 40¢ 54¢ $222 $297 +$74 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 53¢ 46¢ $280 $245 −$35 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 0¢ 52¢ $0 $31 +$31 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $333 $0 −$333 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $462 $0 −$462 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $160 −$160 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $333 −$333 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $462 −$462 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $166 −$166 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $305 −$305 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $163 −$163 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$962
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $48 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $41 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $41 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $35 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $22 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $24 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $30 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $34 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-87.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 571 -86.4% -87.7% 6% 4% -45.8%
≤30d 571 -86.4% -87.7% 6% 4% -45.8%
≤90d 571 -86.4% -87.7% 6% 4% -45.8%
all 571 -86.4% -87.7% 6% 4% -45.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3425.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -87.7% 4% -45.8%
10% ← realistic here -88.9% 2% -50.9%
15% -90.0% 2% -55.7%
20% -91.0% 2% -60.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $573.28 · official $574.88 (match) · 3500 history records