Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:35:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x2708…c5c7 crypto 310 markets active 7d ago coverage 32d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$668 (+3%) realized +$668 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate52%162W / 148L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$65per market
Trades / day98.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$5
14 days−$80
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.4% -9.2% 33% 33% -11.2%
≤30d 298 -4.4% -13.5% 53% 29% -9.9%
≤90d 310 -4.3% -13.4% 52% 28% -9.8%
all 310 -4.3% -13.4% 52% 28% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover98.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 28% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 16% -18.4%
15% -29.2% 8% -26.3%
20% -36.2% 4% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$7 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$668
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses162 / 148
Open positions0
Markets (closed)310 / 310
History coverage32d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day98.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 310 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET Jun 10 $62 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $71 +$13 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $121 −$14 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $257 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$7 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $162 −$17 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $53 −$39 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $289 −$10 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $104 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $75 +$21 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $126 +$16 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 09 $83 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $47 −$6 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $36 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $108 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $26 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $77 −$6 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $74 +$10 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $59 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $94 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $14 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET Jun 09 $129 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $94 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $92 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 08 $131 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $27 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $50 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $166 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $307 −$27 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $142 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $209 −$22 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $70 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $24 −$17 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $82 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $84 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $15 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $80 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $36 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $111 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $136 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $48 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET Jun 08 $35 −$9 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Jun 08 $58 +$12 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $30 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $19 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $32 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $18 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $14 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $12 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $25 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $28 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $11 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $14 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $17 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $12 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $16 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3202 history records