Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T08:01:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
26 0x26f8…3452 sports 266 markets active 1h ago coverage 44d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$72,554 (-10%) realized −$72,554 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate57%151W / 115L
Whale WR61%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2,674per market
Trades / day74.5pace
Fees−$9,108est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 44d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 89% −$29,690
other 10% +$45,080
crypto 1% −$2,269
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +31.4% +18.8% 69% 62% +22.1%
≤30d 131 +8.1% -2.2% 61% 57% +4.0%
≤90d 266 +5.7% -4.4% 57% 53% -7.9%
all 266 +5.7% -4.4% 57% 53% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 53% -7.9%
10% -13.6% 49% -16.7%
15% ← realistic here -21.9% 42% -24.7%
20% -29.6% 33% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 61% (≥$3,501) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,868 vs −$2,339 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$72,554
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses151 / 115
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$9,108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)266 / 266
History coverage44d ⚠
Avg bet$2,674
Trades / day74.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 266 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $1,022 −$1,015 -99%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $1,022 −$1,022 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 27 $986 +$1,410 +143%
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 Jun 27 $459 +$159 +35%
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 27 $5,000 +$2,040 +41%
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 27 $4,598 +$2,402 +52%
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $2,534 +$2,003 +79%
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 27 $2,015 +$501 +25%
LoL Cross Regional 2026: KRX vs FLY Jun 27 $239 +$60 +25%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $329 −$320 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Jun 27 $2,855 −$2,855 -100%
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 27 $3,024 −$3,024 -100%
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 27 $3,501 +$972 +28%
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 27 $2,131 −$2,050 -96%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 27 $1,050 +$1,154 +110%
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $3,735 +$1,508 +40%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $3,007 +$7,881 +262%
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 25 $3,982 +$7,855 +197%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 25 $2,799 +$2,196 +78%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $879 +$2,941 +335%
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $157 +$119 +76%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $4,385 +$2,324 +53%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Petra Marcinko vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 24 $5,320 +$2,311 +43%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Clos Jun 24 $2,343 +$954 +41%
Bad Homburg Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 24 $3,996 +$379 +10%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner Jun 24 $1,960 −$1,929 -98%
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 24 $237 −$237 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 24 $3,701 +$1,024 +28%
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score Jun 24 $7,915 +$198 +2%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playo Jun 23 $1,288 +$411 +32%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox AND Philadelphia Phillies vs Jun 23 $1,013 +$730 +72%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 23 $902 +$4,225 +468%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $1,641 +$2,654 +162%
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $5,662 +$427 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$15 +86%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla Jun 22 $2,993 −$2,993 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 21 $48 −$48 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 21 $34 +$15 +44%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 21 $915 +$333 +36%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playof Jun 21 $422 −$422 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 21 $567 −$567 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 21 $757 −$757 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $1,110 +$648 +58%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $798 +$217 +27%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever Jun 18 $2,474 +$264 +11%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $286 −$286 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $353 −$353 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $415 −$415 -100%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $352 −$352 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 18 $986 −$986 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 0¢ $8 1h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 25¢ $1,022 1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 47¢ $910 7h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 44¢ $22 8h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 44¢ $90 8h
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Cincinnati Reds 100¢ $2,396 8h
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Cincinnati Reds 39¢ $351 8h
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Cincinnati Reds 41¢ $635 9h
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $618 9h
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $6 9h
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $252 9h
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $201 9h
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 100¢ $7,040 9h
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 93¢ $568 9h
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 93¢ $1,502 9h
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 60¢ $2,930 11h
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Houston Astros 65¢ $4,598 14h
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 100¢ $4,536 19h
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 55¢ $2,534 20h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs SELL MASQ 100¢ $2,516 20h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $26 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $8 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $435 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $8 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $8 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $86 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $256 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $80 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $80 21h
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY MASQ 80¢ $80 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records