Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:26:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26da…8a28
crypto · 12 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses9 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)10 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$281
Trades / day145.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 49¢ 42¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1,061 +$18 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $305 −$196 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $254 +$78 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $278 +$21 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$31 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $226 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $276 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $252 +$19 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $554 +$18 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +5.6% -4.4% 90% 20% -9.3%
≤30d 10 +5.6% -4.4% 90% 20% -9.3%
≤90d 10 +5.6% -4.4% 90% 20% -9.3%
all 10 +5.6% -4.4% 90% 20% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover145.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 20% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 20% -18.0%
15% -21.9% 10% -25.9%
20% -29.6% 10% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.30 · official $8.80 · 159 history records