Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26d0…566e
sports · 555 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$487 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$354 · open −$133
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$172
Realized−$354
Unrealized−$133
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses267 / 275
Est. fees paid−$226
Open positions13
Markets (closed)542 / 555
History coverage71d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 13 History 542 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 74¢ 100¢ $60 $81 +$21 (+35%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 76¢ 100¢ $30 $39 +$9 (+32%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 65¢ 44¢ $30 $20 −$10 (-33%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 30¢ 24¢ $17 $13 −$4 (-22%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 56¢ 17¢ $30 $9 −$21 (-70%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Inner Circle 61¢ 82¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+35%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 45¢ 42¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Saab 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-96%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) G2 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 35¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 71¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Snigur vs Montgomery Snigur 25¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 76¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 38¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova Anisimova 37¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) B8 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Mannarino (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) Zhang 64¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Bouzkova 40¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Zhizhen Zhang 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 62¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $7 +$7 +90%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $8 +$19 +238%
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Snigur vs Montgomery Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $30 +$17 +55%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $18 +$14 +79%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Set 1 Winner: McNally vs Sierra Jun 12 $18 +$2 +11%
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 12 $27 +$8 +29%
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova Jun 12 $13 +$22 +165%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $19 +$19 +103%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $30 +$12 +40%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $30 +$15 +50%
ITF Madrid: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Margaux Maquet Jun 12 $30 +$18 +60%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $23 +$39 +165%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $12 −$11 -98%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $3 +$5 +172%
Marie Bouzkova vs. Donna Vekic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Jun 12 $27 −$27 -98%
Set Handicap: Mannarino (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) Jun 12 $16 −$16 -99%
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Anton Shepp Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Apr 21 $27 −$27 -100%
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Apr 21 $30 +$44 +145%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Apr 20 $60 +$1 +2%
Will FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $90 −$35 -39%
CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5 Apr 20 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner Apr 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin Apr 20 $34 +$83 +248%
Burgos vs. CB Breogan Lugo Apr 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Odense BK win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 20 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $60 −$60 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 20 $60 −$11 -18%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters Apr 20 $60 −$60 -100%
Ibaraki Robots vs. Nagasaki Velca Apr 20 $9 −$3 -30%
Will Londrina EC vs. Ceará SC end in a draw? Apr 20 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Apr 20 $59 −$59 -100%
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5 Apr 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Pallacanestro Brescia Apr 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Obera TC vs. Atenas Apr 20 $10 +$4 +44%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Apr 20 $30 +$34 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$275
other 14% −$212
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Saab 14¢ $2 52m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 45¢ $3 52m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $17 56m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Inner Circle 61¢ $5 59m
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova BUY Anisimova 37¢ $22 1h
Set 1 Winner: Snigur vs Montgomery BUY Snigur 25¢ $13 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 56¢ $30 1h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 76¢ $30 1h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 35¢ $22 1h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 74¢ $30 1h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 74¢ $30 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 33¢ $20 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 36¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 71¢ $30 2h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 13¢ $6 2h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 76¢ $30 2h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) SELL Monte 100¢ $33 2h
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana SELL Mary Stoiana 100¢ $11 2h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban SELL Lokomotiv Kuban 99¢ $38 2h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL MOUZ 100¢ $62 2h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 62¢ $30 2h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY G2 47¢ $30 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $14 3h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 38¢ $12 3h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 52¢ $7 3h
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 72¢ $8 3h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 64¢ $30 3h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 29¢ $8 4h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 55¢ $18 4h
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) BUY Boogaard 77¢ $27 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +0.2% -9.4% 53% 53% -12.5%
≤30d 30 +0.2% -9.4% 53% 53% -12.5%
≤90d 542 +3.5% -6.3% 49% 48% -11.5%
all 542 +3.5% -6.3% 49% 48% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 48% -11.5%
10% -15.3% 44% -19.9%
15% -23.5% 40% -27.7%
20% -31.0% 34% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $172.35 · official $172.35 (match) · 1347 history records