Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26c2…7612
crypto · 1848 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,558 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,558 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,558
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1568 / 532
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2100 / 1848
History coverage27d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day69.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,965
7 days−$6,164
14 days−$6,084
30 days−$3,558
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $219 $0 −$219 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $229 $0 −$229 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,383
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $11 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 567 -54.5% -58.8% 37% 35% -70.6%
≤30d 2100 -13.5% -21.7% 75% 50% -11.5%
≤90d 2100 -13.5% -21.7% 75% 50% -11.5%
all 2100 -13.5% -21.7% 75% 50% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.7% 50% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.2% 14% -19.9%
15% -36.0% 2% -27.7%
20% -42.3% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records