Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:21:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26b4…b8a9
sports · 436 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$108,616 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107,910 · open −$706
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,910
Realized−$107,910
Unrealized−$706
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses213 / 221
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$31,298
Open positions2
Markets (closed)434 / 436
History coverage69d
Avg bet$5,826
Trades / day31.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 434 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47,411
7 days+$17,157
14 days−$122,382
30 days−$159,992
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 56¢ 56¢ $13,279 $13,160 −$119 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 80¢ 75¢ $10,336 $9,749 −$587 (-6%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 53¢ 0¢ $8,225 $0 −$8,225 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Yidi Yang 50¢ 0¢ $2,829 $0 −$2,829 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Alvaro Guillen Meza 23¢ 0¢ $3,077 $0 −$3,077 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $8,698 $0 −$8,698 (-100%)
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 20¢ 0¢ $3,669 $0 −$3,669 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 47¢ 0¢ $9,777 $0 −$9,777 (-100%)
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Mary Stoiana 55¢ 0¢ $5,772 $0 −$5,772 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 54¢ 0¢ $10,410 $0 −$10,410 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $5,536 +$17,795 +321%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $5,849 −$5,772 -99%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $6,603 +$10,121 +153%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $8,570 +$3,046 +36%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $5,260 +$13,290 +253%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $384 −$85 -22%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $23,390 −$8,225 -35%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $22,934 +$10,786 +47%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $10,553 −$10,410 -99%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $9,709 −$612 -6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10,669 +$11,522 +108%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,550 +$5,018 +197%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $8,844 −$8,698 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $9,913 −$9,777 -99%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $3,756 −$3,669 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $6,201 +$2,948 +48%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $6,559 −$353 -5%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $9,756 +$4,303 +44%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $15,286 +$11,011 +72%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $4,549 +$2,460 +54%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5,445 +$2,712 +50%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2,357 +$3,924 +166%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $7,568 −$423 -6%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $3,148 −$3,077 -98%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $2,849 −$2,829 -99%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 11 $1,103 −$1,103 -100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 11 $1,217 −$1,217 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 11 $513 −$513 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5) Jun 11 $2,002 −$2,002 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 11 $925 −$925 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 11 $2,359 −$2,359 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $1,226 −$1,226 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $2,955 −$2,955 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 11 $2,036 −$2,036 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $4,000 −$3,496 -87%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 11 $3,596 −$3,596 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 11 $6,993 −$5,385 -77%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 11 $4,331 −$3,257 -75%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $3,440 −$3,440 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 11 $5,057 −$5,057 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $5,067 −$5,067 -100%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 11 $3,194 −$3,194 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 11 $6,284 −$6,284 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $4,868 −$4,868 -100%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 11 $5,831 −$5,831 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $5,566 −$5,566 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 11 $5,661 −$5,661 -100%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 11 $6,848 −$6,848 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 11 $6,975 −$6,975 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 11 $5,660 −$5,660 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$141,987
other 2% +$14,038
crypto 2% −$13,449
world 0% +$32,782
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 56¢ $13,454 3m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 80¢ $6,864 10m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 80¢ $8 10m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 80¢ $4 10m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 79¢ $3,483 10m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 99¢ $23,331 11m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 23¢ $2,558 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 23¢ $2,978 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 50¢ $13 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 55¢ $5,827 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 43¢ $9 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL David Jorda Sanchis 99¢ $16,724 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 55¢ $3,547 3h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova SELL Ashlyn Krueger 99¢ $11,616 3h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 28¢ $3,056 3h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 72¢ $8,570 3h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 31¢ $1,174 5h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 27¢ $4,087 5h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Alexander Shevchenko 51¢ $299 6h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 65¢ $5 6h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 65¢ $63 6h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 65¢ $105 6h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 63¢ $212 6h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 53¢ $4,563 7h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 54¢ $3,777 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 99¢ $33,720 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 65¢ $3,972 14h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 51¢ $1,432 15h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $17,673 15h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 57¢ $462 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -8.4% -17.1% 41% 40% -6.0%
≤30d 250 -12.4% -20.8% 44% 44% -18.6%
≤90d 434 -3.2% -12.4% 49% 49% -13.4%
all 434 -3.2% -12.4% 49% 49% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 49% -13.4%
10% -20.8% 47% -21.7%
15% ← realistic here -28.5% 42% -29.3%
20% -35.5% 32% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,909.69 · official $22,909.69 (match) · 2421 history records