trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 9 | -85.8% | -87.1% | 11% | 11% | -60.5% |
| all | 115 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 46% | 44% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 44% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 42% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 36% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 30% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $29 | $27 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 03 | $48 | −$47 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $24 | −$24 | -99% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $130 | −$128 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Apr 01 | $250 | −$248 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Apr 01 | $230 | −$226 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Apr 01 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Apr 01 | $32 | −$31 | -97% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Mar 30 | $400 | +$111 | +28% |
| Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw? | Mar 30 | $5 | +$18 | +354% |
| Will Scotland vs. Japan end in a draw? | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Hungary vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Mar 28 | $200 | +$167 | +84% |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | Mar 28 | $425 | +$533 | +125% |
| Bulls vs. Thunder | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Mar 28 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Mar 26 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Mar 26 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 26 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Mar 26 | $148 | +$72 | +49% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Mar 23 | $200 | +$184 | +92% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pelicans | Mar 22 | $124 | +$335 | +270% |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Mar 21 | $100 | +$119 | +119% |
| Knicks vs. Nets | Mar 21 | $200 | +$56 | +28% |
| Celtics vs. Grizzlies | Mar 21 | $376 | +$273 | +72% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Mar 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $42 | +$34 | +82% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Mar 18 | $150 | +$56 | +37% |
| Thunder vs. Magic | Mar 18 | $300 | +$86 | +29% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 17 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Mar 17 | $581 | +$362 | +62% |
| Suns vs. Celtics | Mar 17 | $500 | +$81 | +16% |
| Trail Blazers vs. 76ers | Mar 16 | $972 | +$85 | +9% |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Mar 15 | $1,383 | −$605 | -44% |
| Nuggets vs. Lakers | Mar 15 | $942 | +$634 | +67% |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Mar 12 | $36 | −$3 | -7% |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Mar 12 | $300 | −$142 | -47% |
| Knicks vs. Pistons | Jan 05 | $722 | −$722 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Lakers | Jan 05 | $300 | +$169 | +56% |
| Timberwolves vs. Wizards | Jan 05 | $200 | +$53 | +26% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Jan 05 | $1,500 | −$1,500 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Jan 04 | $379 | −$379 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Warriors | Jan 04 | $1,652 | +$727 | +44% |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks | Jan 04 | $690 | −$579 | -84% |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | Jan 04 | $200 | +$141 | +70% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Jan 04 | $379 | −$79 | -21% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Jan 04 | $278 | −$278 | -100% |
| Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw? | Jan 03 | $103 | +$103 | +100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada? | BUY Yes | 12¢ | $29 | 1h |
| Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada? | BUY Yes | 10¢ | $36 | 1h |
| Magic vs. Pistons | BUY Magic | 26¢ | $50 | 55d |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY Raptors | 29¢ | $48 | 55d |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY Rockets | 2¢ | $4 | 57d |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY Rockets | 4¢ | $10 | 57d |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY Rockets | 4¢ | $10 | 57d |
| Pistons vs. Magic | BUY Pistons | 46¢ | $130 | 61d |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 65¢ | $250 | 88d |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | BUY Cavaliers | 31¢ | $50 | 88d |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | BUY Cavaliers | 53¢ | $100 | 88d |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | BUY Cavaliers | 45¢ | $80 | 88d |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | BUY Raptors | 1¢ | $10 | 88d |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | BUY Raptors | 1¢ | $10 | 88d |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | BUY Knicks | 5¢ | $32 | 88d |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 79¢ | $300 | 90d |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 76¢ | $100 | 90d |
| Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 22¢ | $5 | 91d |
| Will Scotland vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 39¢ | $10 | 91d |
| Will Hungary vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 41¢ | $10 | 91d |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 47¢ | $50 | 92d |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 53¢ | $50 | 92d |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 60¢ | $100 | 92d |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | BUY Clippers | 35¢ | $100 | 92d |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | BUY Clippers | 44¢ | $125 | 92d |
| Bulls vs. Thunder | BUY Bulls | 14¢ | $10 | 92d |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | BUY Heat | 2¢ | $5 | 92d |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | BUY Grizzlies | 17¢ | $10 | 92d |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | BUY Hawks | 23¢ | $50 | 92d |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | BUY Clippers | 47¢ | $100 | 92d |