Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:12:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2694…6ca9
crypto · 90 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$43 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses55 / 35
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage42d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$11 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$19 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$12 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $185 −$69 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$8 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $92 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$43 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$24 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $163 −$26 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$21 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$31 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$12 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$28 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$15 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$9 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$20 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$17 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$16 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$22
sports 6% $0
other 1% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $26 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -1.6% -10.9% 62% 59% -10.4%
≤30d 80 -1.6% -10.9% 62% 59% -10.4%
≤90d 90 -1.5% -10.8% 61% 58% -11.1%
all 90 -1.5% -10.8% 61% 58% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 58% -11.1%
10% -19.4% 48% -19.6%
15% -27.2% 27% -27.4%
20% -34.3% 13% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 205 history records