Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:09:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2688…de0a
crypto · 1613 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$203 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$203 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1379 / 251
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1630 / 1613
History coverage35d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day59.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1630 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$127
14 days−$164
30 days−$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -811%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 -8.6% -17.3% 83% 15% -17.7%
≤30d 1338 -2.4% -11.7% 86% 13% -10.6%
≤90d 1630 -2.4% -11.7% 85% 15% -10.6%
all 1630 -2.4% -11.7% 85% 15% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 15% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 4% -19.1%
15% -27.9% 2% -26.9%
20% -34.9% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records