Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:42:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
26 0x2687…9a9e crypto 49 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$112 (+8%) realized +$112 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate61%30W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day111.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 53% -9.1%
≤30d 49 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 53% -9.1%
≤90d 49 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 53% -9.1%
all 49 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 53% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover111.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 53% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 33% -17.8%
15% -30.2% 22% -25.8%
20% -37.0% 16% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$17 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses30 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage1d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day111.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 49 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$4 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $103 −$42 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$3 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$9 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $46 +$5 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $86 +$17 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $106 +$13 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$9 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $37 −$37 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$14 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $36 +$33 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $36 +$31 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $77 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $37 −$35 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$28 +106%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $36 −$35 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$21 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$14 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $36 +$13 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $47 −$45 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$19 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$39 +187%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $36 −$35 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $72 +$26 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$3 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$10 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $34 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $30 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $29 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $30 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $29 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $22 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $51 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $61 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $52 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $46 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $36 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $37 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $35 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $47 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $36 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $28 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 134 history records