Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2687…1363
sports · 225 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$12,690 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,486 · open +$282
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,063
Realized+$12,486
Unrealized+$282
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses149 / 74
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$3,572
Open positions2
Markets (closed)223 / 225
History coverage23d
Avg bet$1,273
Trades / day142.5
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 223 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,140
7 days+$3,452
14 days+$5,040
30 days+$12,486
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 85¢ 100¢ $1,110 $1,312 +$202 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 89¢ 100¢ $671 $751 +$80 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,207 −$476 -22%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15,298 +$413 +3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $833 +$137 +16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,103 −$3 -0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $188 +$65 +34%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,760 −$70 -4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,653 +$215 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,648 +$177 +11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,125 +$681 +32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $948 +$3 +0%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,087 +$162 +15%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,333 +$392 +17%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,781 +$188 +11%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,764 +$255 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,588 +$385 +15%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,230 +$129 +10%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,529 −$405 -26%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,731 +$263 +15%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $241 +$37 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,433 +$198 +14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,173 +$236 +11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,306 −$694 -30%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,072 +$241 +22%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,480 −$93 -6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,012 −$569 -56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $414 +$22 +5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,229 −$39 -3%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $875 +$200 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$4 +25%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $831 +$28 +3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $28 +$6 +21%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $769 +$50 +6%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2,743 +$188 +7%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $762 +$173 +23%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2,119 −$9 -0%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,318 +$97 +7%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,473 +$72 +5%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $2,099 +$105 +5%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,041 +$209 +10%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,774 +$192 +11%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,068 +$105 +10%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,550 +$160 +6%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,572 +$171 +11%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $413 +$46 +11%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,298 +$25 +1%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $3,125 +$160 +5%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,184 −$22 -2%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $597 +$160 +27%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,447 +$327 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$12,798
other 0% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 99¢ $55 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 99¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 89¢ $444 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $438 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 98¢ $245 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 85¢ $214 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 85¢ $214 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 83¢ $1,038 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 54¢ $132 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 95¢ $238 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $67 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $44 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $44 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 48¢ $60 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 50¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 45¢ $115 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 26¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 81¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 80¢ $98 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 79¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 79¢ $32 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 80¢ $56 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 80¢ $636 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 80¢ $36 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 80¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +4.4% -5.5% 73% 44% -7.1%
≤30d 223 +3.4% -6.4% 67% 44% -5.5%
≤90d 223 +3.4% -6.4% 67% 44% -5.5%
all 223 +3.4% -6.4% 67% 44% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.4% 44% -5.5%
10% -15.4% 27% -14.6%
15% ← realistic here -23.5% 18% -22.8%
20% -31.0% 13% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,062.92 · official $2,062.92 (match) · 3500 history records