Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:05:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2682…50b6
crypto · 1755 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1737 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1763 / 1755
History coverage60d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1763 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$14
14 days−$16
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 100¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$9
other 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 314 -2.3% -11.6% 97% 0% -11.6%
≤30d 853 -1.1% -10.5% 98% 0% -10.4%
≤90d 1763 -0.7% -10.2% 99% 0% -10.2%
all 1763 -0.7% -10.2% 99% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 0% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.01 · official $2.01 (match) · 3500 history records