Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:53:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x267d…f42a
crypto · 1257 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$86 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses894 / 363
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1257 / 1257
History coverage94d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$51
14 days−$109
30 days−$139
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$7 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -9.5% -18.1% 52% 33% -15.3%
≤30d 466 -7.7% -16.5% 61% 21% -12.1%
≤90d 1189 -3.0% -12.2% 70% 9% -10.1%
all 1257 -2.7% -11.9% 71% 9% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 9% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 1% -18.4%
15% -28.1% 1% -26.3%
20% -35.1% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records