Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:00:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2671…5cb0
other · 120 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$91 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses17 / 102
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)119 / 120
History coverage95d
Avg bet$168
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$22
14 days−$32
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $57 $57 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun Jun 13 $56 −$1 -1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Jun 13 $51 $0 +1%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $52 −$1 -2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Jun 12 $125 −$1 -1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 12 $46 $0 -0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $63 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $421 −$2 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $53 −$1 -1%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 11 $46 +$1 +2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $267 −$3 -1%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $8 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $48 −$1 -1%
Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA W Jun 10 $66 −$9 -14%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Jun 09 $50 $0 -1%
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $54 −$1 -2%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 09 $91 +$1 +1%
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 07 $55 −$2 -4%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $48 −$1 -2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 06 $51 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $295 $0 -0%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 05 $58 −$1 -1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $616 −$2 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Jun 04 $49 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 04 $59 −$1 -2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee Jun 03 $39 $0 -1%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 03 $57 $0 +0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $114 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $63 $0 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 03 $113 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $47 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? Jun 02 $41 $0 -0%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 02 $46 $0 -1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $147 −$1 -0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $336 −$1 -0%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $44 −$1 -3%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $166 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $276 −$1 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $299 −$1 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $49 $0 +1%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $108 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 29 $579 −$3 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $802 −$1 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $48 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 27 $57 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 27 $49 $0 +0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? May 23 $106 −$4 -4%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 22 $57 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 22 $40 −$1 -2%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 20 $115 −$2 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 31% −$29
politics 26% −$17
crypto 14% −$20
sports 11% −$2
finance 4% −$2
world 4% −$6
culture 4% −$7
economics 4% −$3
tech 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 95¢ $57 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 96¢ $56 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 96¢ $18 5h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 96¢ $1 5h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 96¢ $37 5h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 96¢ $52 6h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $4 11h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $4 11h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $43 11h
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 90¢ $51 12h
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 91¢ $52 18h
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom SELL No 91¢ $62 18h
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom BUY No 91¢ $63 26h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? SELL No 95¢ $46 27h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $46 31h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 96¢ $62 32h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $63 37h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 97¢ $48 37h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $48 45h
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $53 46h
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $53 2d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 97¢ $47 2d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 94¢ $46 2d
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 92¢ $54 2d
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 93¢ $54 2d
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 93¢ $8 2d
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 93¢ $8 2d
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $47 2d
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $48 3d
Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA W SELL No 82¢ $57 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -1.6% -10.9% 16% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 58 -0.9% -10.4% 12% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 112 -0.7% -10.1% 12% 0% -10.0%
all 119 -0.6% -10.1% 14% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.02 · official $57.02 (match) · 446 history records