Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2659…a631
crypto · 481 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$334 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$334 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$334
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses187 / 294
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)481 / 481
History coverage67d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day19.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 481 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days−$9
30 days−$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Jun 12 $36 $0 -0%
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podc Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
US recession by end of 2026? Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $95 −$1 -1%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o Jun 12 $71 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $11 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Danilina/Krunic vs Mihalikova/Nicholls Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $260 −$1 -0%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Will Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 12 $1 $0 -13%
Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Will Bret Johnsen be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I Jun 12 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$13 +416%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 -23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +21%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$4 +392%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 31 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 31 $8 −$2 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$207
sports 15% −$15
other 10% −$108
world 10% −$2
tech 6% −$2
politics 2% $0
economics 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL No 100¢ $10 54m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY No 100¢ $10 54m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL No 100¢ $10 54m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY No 100¢ $10 54m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL No 100¢ $10 55m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY No 100¢ $10 55m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL No 100¢ $5 55m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY No 100¢ $5 55m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL No 100¢ $1 56m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY No 100¢ $1 56m
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL No 94¢ $1 56m
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY No 100¢ $1 56m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 68¢ $1 57m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 57m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 68¢ $1 57m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 57m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 68¢ $2 58m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 58m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 58m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 68¢ $1 58m
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 58m
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podc SELL No 57¢ $1 59m
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podc BUY No 68¢ $1 59m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? SELL No 70¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? BUY No 73¢ $1 1h
US recession by end of 2026? SELL No 82¢ $1 1h
US recession by end of 2026? BUY No 83¢ $1 1h
US recession by end of 2026? SELL No 82¢ $1 1h
US recession by end of 2026? BUY No 83¢ $1 1h
US recession by end of 2026? SELL No 82¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +0.7% -8.9% 22% 22% -8.6%
≤30d 109 -20.3% -27.9% 29% 27% -18.4%
≤90d 481 -7.6% -16.4% 39% 33% -19.9%
all 481 -7.6% -16.4% 39% 33% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 33% -19.9%
10% -24.4% 30% -27.5%
15% -31.7% 27% -34.5%
20% -38.4% 23% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1580 history records