Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:39:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2653…76e1
crypto · 895 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$147 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$145
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses266 / 626
Open positions2
Markets (closed)892 / 895
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1031.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 2 History 892 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$145
14 days−$145
30 days−$145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 18¢ 18¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 26¢ 10¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-60%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$8 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +150%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$23 +316%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$17 +296%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$6 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$11 +245%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$7 -32%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$150
other 16% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $0 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 892 -7.8% -16.6% 30% 26% -11.9%
≤30d 892 -7.8% -16.6% 30% 26% -11.9%
≤90d 892 -7.8% -16.6% 30% 26% -11.9%
all 892 -7.8% -16.6% 30% 26% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1031.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 26% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 23% -20.4%
15% -31.9% 20% -28.1%
20% -38.6% 18% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.02 · official $11.34 · 3500 history records