Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2643…39ae
sports · 105 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
+$931,199 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$931,199 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,585,506
7 days+$1,586,579
14 days+$2,059,345
30 days+$2,079,215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 53¢ $49,296 $0 −$49,296 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 50¢ $147,722 $0 −$147,722 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 49¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Magic Pistons 40¢ $49,115 $0 −$49,115 (-100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 58¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 62¢ $14,725 $0 −$14,725 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 70¢ $19,271 $0 −$19,271 (-100%)
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils Duke Blue Devils 68¢ $238,896 $0 −$238,896 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Arizona Diamondbacks 47¢ $197,882 $0 −$197,882 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) Nuggets 57¢ $95,858 $0 −$95,858 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 59¢ $186,052 $0 −$186,052 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Nuggets 53¢ $69,257 $0 −$69,257 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ $75,185 $0 −$75,185 (-100%)
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Iowa State Cyclones 60¢ $161,169 $0 −$161,169 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners New York Yankees 34¢ $738 $0 −$738 (-100%)
NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals Yes 57¢ $6,757 $0 −$6,757 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 55¢ $99,170 $0 −$99,170 (-100%)
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5) Purdue Boilermakers 58¢ $11,478 $0 −$11,478 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees 60¢ $49,530 $0 −$49,530 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 52¢ $114,635 $0 −$114,635 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 65¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Pistons 62¢ $10,069 $0 −$10,069 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ $295,920 $0 −$295,920 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $500,613 +$284,478 +57%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $599,999 +$248,622 +41%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $830,710 +$668,088 +80%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $300,001 +$124,228 +41%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $400,029 +$260,089 +65%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $180,033 +$136,940 +76%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $300,004 −$295,920 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $99,997 +$111,700 +112%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $61,044 +$48,354 +79%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 04 $116,286 −$114,635 -99%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 04 $70,194 +$65,513 +93%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $100,037 +$81,220 +81%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $140,049 +$94,702 +68%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) May 31 $100,012 +$97,842 +98%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 30 $203,917 +$154,001 +76%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 29 $159,789 +$94,123 +59%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 28 $31,513 +$21,084 +67%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox May 28 $19,994 +$11,476 +57%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 28 $90,118 −$7,849 -9%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 28 $160,103 +$99,915 +62%
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals May 28 $65,698 +$44,302 +67%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 27 $21,218 +$15,494 +73%
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 27 $12,820 +$8,424 +66%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $76,083 −$75,185 -99%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 24 $14,893 −$14,725 -99%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) May 22 $150,011 +$82,278 +55%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $199,985 −$56,448 -28%
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets May 16 $49,992 −$49,296 -99%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 13 $10,184 −$10,069 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles May 13 $50,124 −$49,530 -99%
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5 May 08 $129,981 +$98,175 +76%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) May 07 $149,937 −$147,722 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $99,838 +$61,087 +61%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) May 05 $529 +$513 +97%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 04 $119,814 +$44,627 +37%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) May 03 $12,087 +$8,130 +67%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves May 01 $157,734 −$47,144 -30%
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) May 01 $97,091 −$95,858 -99%
Knicks vs. Hawks May 01 $150,154 +$104,894 +70%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 26 $70,235 −$69,257 -99%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 25 $50,003 −$49,115 -98%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Apr 16 $201 −$198 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Apr 15 $100,112 −$99,170 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Apr 11 $201,059 −$197,882 -98%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Apr 11 $350,273 +$21,798 +6%
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Apr 11 $299,230 +$142,056 +48%
Spread: Hawks (-6.5) Apr 11 $299,510 +$199,672 +67%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs Apr 10 $188,326 −$186,052 -99%
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Apr 10 $161,849 −$323,018 -200%
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-6.5) Apr 10 $68,368 −$68,368 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$629,339
other 7% +$301,860
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $785,091 5h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $573 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $15,925 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $3,185 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $3,185 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $3,185 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $31,850 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $19,110 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $19,110 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $19,110 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $19,110 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $15,925 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $59,394 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $201,268 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $669 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $470 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $664 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $485 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $554 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +267.9% +232.8% 89% 89% +35.0%
≤30d 30 +151.4% +127.5% 70% 70% +28.7%
≤90d 95 +30.0% +17.6% 53% 49% -2.6%
all 105 +38.5% +25.3% 57% 54% +0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +25.3% 54% +0.2%
10% +13.3% 51% -9.4%
15% ← realistic here +2.4% 49% -18.1%
20% -7.7% 43% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records