Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:49:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2643…b5ea
other · 256 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$84 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses17 / 239
Whale WR (big bets)12%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)256 / 256
History coverage130d
Avg bet$228
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$17
14 days−$28
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $420 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $375 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $292 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $302 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $431 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $213 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $274 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $397 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $396 −$2 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $324 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $505 $0 +0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $243 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $300 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $68 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $237 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $363 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $219 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $564 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $522 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $990 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $374 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $231 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 08 $363 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $623 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $536 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $188 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $71 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $197 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $596 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $254 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $518 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $671 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $923 −$2 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $666 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $262 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $678 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 02 $318 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $427 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $858 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $609 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $540 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $169 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 30 $275 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $76 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $433 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? May 29 $403 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $238 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $423 $0 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 28 $161 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $244 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$40
sports 27% −$22
politics 8% −$4
culture 7% −$7
economics 5% −$4
crypto 5% −$4
world 3% −$2
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $66 16m
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 1h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $66 12h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $66 14h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $66 18h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 19h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $66 21h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $66 23h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $66 24h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $66 26h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $66 27h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 29h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $66 30h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 32h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $66 33h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $67 35h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $67 43h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $67 44h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $67 46h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $67 2d
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $67 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $67 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $67 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $67 2d
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 67 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 182 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
all 256 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1356 history records