Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:54:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
26 0x263b…4cc7 crypto 17 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (96 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$28 (+3%) realized +$28 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate88%15W / 2L
Drawdown58%max
Avg bet$57per market
Trades / day96.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (96 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -8.5% -17.3% 88% 0% -7.1%
≤30d 17 -8.5% -17.3% 88% 0% -7.1%
≤90d 17 -8.5% -17.3% 88% 0% -7.1%
all 17 -8.5% -17.3% 88% 0% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover96.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 0% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 0% -15.9%
15% -32.4% 0% -24.1%
20% -39.0% 0% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 37% · top 2 51% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.32 per $1 lost it wins $2.32
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses15 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day96.0
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 17 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $60 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $70 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $90 +$4 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $201 +$17 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $70 +$5 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET Jun 15 $160 +$6 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $90 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET Jun 15 $70 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 111 history records