Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:38:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2608…8958
sports · 82 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,263 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,263 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,263
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses52 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$230
Open positions0
Markets (closed)82 / 82
History coverage46d
Avg bet$456
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$728
7 days−$1,553
14 days−$3,360
30 days−$2,573
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Kent 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India India 49¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Bangladesh 53¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Surrey 44¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan Pakistan 82¢ 0¢ $1,430 $0 −$1,430 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire Worcestershire 69¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 17¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Somerset 70¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $1,359 −$902 -66%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $502 +$62 +12%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $301 +$22 +7%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $332 +$63 +19%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $621 +$1 +0%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $901 +$27 +3%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $1,126 +$112 +10%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 09 $436 −$20 -5%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 09 $178 +$20 +11%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $373 +$131 +35%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1,002 −$623 -62%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $608 +$84 +14%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Yorkshire Jun 07 $601 −$575 -96%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorgan Jun 07 $102 −$101 -100%
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire Jun 07 $212 −$210 -99%
Will England win? Jun 07 $1,124 +$137 +12%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia Jun 07 $703 +$60 +9%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA Jun 06 $383 +$161 +42%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Jun 05 $198 −$195 -98%
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $127 +$79 +63%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 05 $20 −$8 -40%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, China Jun 05 $300 +$12 +4%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 04 $435 −$114 -26%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 04 $523 +$82 +16%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bhutan vs Hong Kong, China Jun 03 $491 +$19 +4%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $2,750 −$364 -13%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Jun 02 $899 −$103 -11%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan May 31 $1,437 −$1,430 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $21 −$20 -98%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands May 31 $676 +$233 +34%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $103 −$100 -98%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 30 $710 −$700 -98%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh May 30 $608 −$600 -99%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $1,062 +$609 +57%
Will New Zealand win? May 29 $1,304 +$173 +13%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 28 $1,073 +$61 +6%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $1,105 +$212 +19%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $51 −$50 -98%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $1,205 +$271 +22%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $647 +$283 +44%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 23 $181 −$181 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 23 $262 −$74 -28%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga May 23 $273 +$18 +6%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $901 +$34 +4%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $830 +$234 +28%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 22 $514 +$85 +16%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 21 $473 +$148 +31%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $272 +$148 +54%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $152 +$82 +54%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $232 +$80 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$1,697
other 11% +$57
crypto 3% −$623
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 6¢ $54 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 87¢ $803 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 18¢ $74 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 40¢ $51 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 62¢ $75 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 34¢ $102 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 68¢ $254 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 81¢ $50 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 81¢ $50 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 81¢ $101 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 83¢ $101 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 73¢ $101 4h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 100¢ $563 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 100¢ $322 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY Australia 93¢ $301 6h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 92¢ $100 6h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 80¢ $101 8h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 92¢ $100 8h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland SELL Scotland 100¢ $383 8h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 90¢ $201 9h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland SELL Ireland 17¢ $11 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 85¢ $100 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 90¢ $100 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 86¢ $100 11h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Ireland 15¢ $10 11h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 52¢ $20 11h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 2¢ $4 27h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 97¢ $300 27h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 97¢ $300 27h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $21 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -19.4% -27.1% 67% 39% -22.8%
≤30d 53 -15.1% -23.2% 62% 42% -16.9%
≤90d 82 -4.3% -13.4% 63% 45% -15.1%
all 82 -4.3% -13.4% 63% 45% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 45% -15.1%
10% -21.7% 24% -23.2%
15% -29.3% 15% -30.6%
20% -36.2% 9% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 485 history records