trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 44% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 47% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 47% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 24 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 24 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 21 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 19 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $21 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $37 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $67 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $32 | −$1 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 01 | $35 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $106 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 28 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Jul 24 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $2 | −$1 | -54% |
| Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Jun 03 | $7 | $0 | +7% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election? | Apr 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |