trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 32% | 4% | -6.1% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 32% | 4% | -6.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 32% | 4% | -6.1% |
| all | 28 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 32% | 4% | -54.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 4% | -54.1% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 4% | -58.5% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 4% | -62.5% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 4% | -66.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $12 | +$21 | +172% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 13 | $24 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jun 13 | $24 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 13 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Jun 13 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend | Jun 13 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 13 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening | Jun 13 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jun 13 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | Jun 13 | $24 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 13 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Jun 13 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$1 | -2% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | Jun 13 | $7 | +$1 | +9% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Sep 18 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | Mar 25 | $535 | −$535 | -100% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Mar 14 | $24 | −$1 | -5% |