trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -24.2% | -31.5% | 28% | 28% | -26.0% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 29% | 29% | -27.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -13.0% | -21.3% | 24% | 24% | -55.7% |
| all | 25 | -13.0% | -21.3% | 24% | 24% | -55.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.3% | 24% | -55.7% |
| 10% | -28.8% | 24% | -59.9% |
| 15% | -35.7% | 24% | -63.8% |
| 20% | -42.0% | 24% | -67.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $619 | $545 | −$74 (-12%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $30 | −$29 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $14 | +$36 | +250% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $27 | −$27 | -98% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $81 | −$80 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $81 | +$64 | +79% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $23 | +$77 | +344% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $69 | +$81 | +117% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $48 | −$47 | -98% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $31 | +$219 | +712% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $246 | −$242 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | May 18 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | May 18 | $157 | −$150 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | May 18 | $209 | −$200 | -96% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? | May 14 | $239 | −$239 | -100% |