Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:04:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
25 0x25fb…a352 crypto 901 markets active 5d ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (305 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$413 (-8%) realized −$413 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -35% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -50% what you keep after slip
Net edge-50%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate57%754W / 562L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day304.7pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$928
7 days−$928
14 days−$1,004
30 days−$968
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$40
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (305 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-41.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 458 -95.5% -95.9% 4% 0% -96.4%
≤30d 1316 -34.8% -41.0% 57% 7% -23.5%
≤90d 1316 -34.8% -41.0% 57% 7% -23.5%
all 1316 -34.8% -41.0% 57% 7% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover304.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.0% 7% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -46.7% 5% -30.8%
15% -51.8% 4% -37.5%
20% -56.6% 4% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -35% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -67% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$413
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses754 / 562
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1316 / 901
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day304.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1316 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$24 -112%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$8 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$10 -126%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7d
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7d
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 7d
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records