Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x25f3…d1ab
sports · 1376 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$82 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$80
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses607 / 726
Est. fees paid−$48
Open positions43
Markets (closed)1333 / 1376
History coverage96d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 43 History 1333 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$60
14 days+$44
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Martin Landaluce 57¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 40¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 44¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Daniel Evans 27¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Dino Prizmic 50¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Adrian Mannarino 21¢ 19¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Under 20¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Under 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Under 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 13¢ 13¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 13¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $2 +$7 +365%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$8 +250%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$6 +550%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $3 +$4 +119%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $3 +$4 +137%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $3 +$12 +388%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $3 +$5 +165%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 +$5 +238%
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$6
crypto 15% −$33
other 4% −$43
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 27¢ $3 3m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 50¢ $3 4m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 57¢ $3 5m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 44m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 45m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 46m
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 47m
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 48m
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 49m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $3 49m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $2 51m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 8¢ $1 51m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 58m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 59m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 20¢ $2 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 5¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 9¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +4.3% -5.6% 39% 39% +14.1%
≤30d 422 -13.6% -21.8% 33% 33% -13.1%
≤90d 1182 -7.7% -16.5% 43% 43% -11.7%
all 1333 -5.5% -14.5% 46% 44% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 44% -11.1%
10% -22.7% 42% -19.6%
15% -30.2% 37% -27.4%
20% -37.0% 31% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.85 · official $95.85 (match) · 2915 history records