Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:51:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x25ef…2d92
economics · 7 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$229 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$229 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY economics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$611
Realized+$229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage138d
Avg bet$606
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $610 $611 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 02 $684 +$2 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee May 13 $680 +$3 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee Mar 20 $677 +$3 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? Feb 13 $674 +$3 +0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 09 $461 +$213 +46%
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Jan 29 $457 +$4 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 57% +$11
world 32% +$5
other 11% +$213
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 100¢ $610 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? BUY No 100¢ $684 14d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee BUY Yes 100¢ $680 51d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee BUY Yes 100¢ $677 90d
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $674 121d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? BUY Yes 68¢ $461 127d
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? BUY Yes 99¢ $457 138d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 3 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
all 6 +8.1% -2.2% 100% 17% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.2% 17% -3.8%
10% -11.5% 17% -13.0%
15% -20.1% 17% -21.4%
20% -27.9% 0% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $610.59 · official $610.59 (match) · 13 history records