Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:40:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x25d9…2162
crypto · 73 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$120 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$57 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$123
Realized+$57
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses41 / 31
Open positions1
Markets (closed)72 / 73
History coverage1d
Avg bet$90
Trades / day822.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$57
14 days+$57
30 days+$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 67¢ 98¢ $83 $121 +$38 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 2¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $221 +$21 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$11 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $169 −$7 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $58 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $66 −$15 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $123 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$23 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $267 −$58 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $219 +$45 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $88 +$36 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $133 +$28 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $202 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $81 +$25 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $142 −$125 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $234 −$141 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $117 +$66 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $87 +$20 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$16 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $137 +$35 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $140 −$63 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $124 +$22 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $92 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $55 +$14 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $131 +$39 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $108 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $111 +$78 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $229 −$29 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $47 +$9 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $204 −$62 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$32 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$12 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $230 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$17 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$8 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $45 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $73 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $74 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $74 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -0.2% -9.7% 57% 42% -8.7%
≤30d 72 -0.2% -9.7% 57% 42% -8.7%
≤90d 72 -0.2% -9.7% 57% 42% -8.7%
all 72 -0.2% -9.7% 57% 42% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover822.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 42% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 24% -17.5%
15% -26.2% 15% -25.4%
20% -33.5% 11% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $123.16 · official $123.16 (match) · 892 history records