Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:42:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x25c4…0afe
crypto · 667 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$392 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$392 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$392
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses289 / 378
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)667 / 667
History coverage32d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day51.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 667 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$359
7 days+$434
14 days+$223
30 days−$320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) Deiveson Figueiredo 19¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A FlyQuest 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $569 $0 −$569 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $83 +$120 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $75 −$23 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$13 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $72 +$59 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $135 +$84 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$42 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $558 +$484 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,021 +$696 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1,113 +$888 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $619 −$562 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $415 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,141 +$948 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $930 −$900 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $476 −$395 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,438 +$997 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,037 −$937 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$61 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $215 −$208 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $155 +$60 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$100 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$50 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$40 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $161 −$70 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$151 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$36 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$45 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$42 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $342 +$158 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $309 +$110 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$130
other 1% −$195
sports 1% −$58
finance 0% +$1
weather 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $83 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $52 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 154 -7.5% -16.3% 45% 44% -3.2%
≤30d 613 -9.1% -17.8% 44% 43% -7.6%
≤90d 667 -10.3% -18.8% 43% 42% -7.9%
all 667 -10.3% -18.8% 43% 42% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 42% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 40% -16.7%
15% -33.7% 37% -24.8%
20% -40.2% 33% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1777 history records