Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:17:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
25 0x25ac…e89e crypto 1074 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d only
✗ bot/MM pace (398 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$396 (-2%) realized −$396 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate63%704W / 407L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day398.0pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$403
other 5% −$103
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (398 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1111 -13.6% -21.8% 63% 7% -12.6%
≤30d 1111 -13.6% -21.8% 63% 7% -12.6%
≤90d 1111 -13.6% -21.8% 63% 7% -12.6%
all 1111 -13.6% -21.8% 63% 7% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover398.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 7% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 4% -20.9%
15% -36.1% 3% -28.6%
20% -42.4% 2% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$396
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses704 / 407
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1111 / 1074
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day398.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1111 Trades
no open positions (180 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $46 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $48 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $47 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $48 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $47 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $43 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records