trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $1,071 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 27 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 27 | $1,085 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 27 | $1,058 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | May 26 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 26 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 26 | $22 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 24 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 23 | $810 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 23 | $58 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 23 | $827 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 23 | $799 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close | May 23 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 23 | $778 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? | May 23 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 23 | $801 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 22 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 22 | $867 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | May 22 | $868 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 21 | $790 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Apr 04 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 04 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 04 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Apr 01 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 01 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 01 | $53 | $0 | -0% |