Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:06:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x257c…d88e
other · 110 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$110 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$110 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses9 / 101
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)110 / 110
History coverage121d
Avg bet$151
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hornets vs. Bulls Bulls 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Pelicans Warriors 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Magic Wizards 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Warriors Warriors 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Grizzlies 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $130 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $151 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $113 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 24 $104 $0 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 16 $109 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 14 $230 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 07 $106 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 06 $128 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 05 $112 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? May 05 $232 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 05 $105 $0 -0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 04 $138 $0 -0%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 04 $123 $0 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 04 $136 $0 -0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 03 $140 $0 -0%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 03 $127 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $399 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $110 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 01 $136 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $117 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $473 +$96 +20%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $445 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 30 $118 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 29 $116 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $103 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $364 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 21 $117 $0 -0%
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 20 $140 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 20 $384 $0 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $102 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $114 $0 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Apr 19 $123 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $128 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 18 $139 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 17 $116 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 17 $98 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $127 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $127 $0 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 16 $112 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? Apr 16 $129 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 15 $284 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $108 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $408 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $110 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 13 $130 $0 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $137 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $138 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 12 $225 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 12 $133 $0 -0%
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Apr 12 $132 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% +$88
politics 32% −$7
sports 10% +$29
crypto 4% −$1
world 1% $0
economics 1% $0
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $22 1h
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $22 4d
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $21 4d
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $21 5d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $113 5d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $113 6d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $104 20d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $104 24d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $109 28d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $109 29d
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $112 29d
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $112 30d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $106 37d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $106 37d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $128 38d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $128 38d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $112 38d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $112 38d
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $99 38d
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $99 38d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $105 38d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $105 39d
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $138 39d
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $138 39d
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $123 39d
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $123 39d
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $136 40d
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $136 40d
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $140 40d
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $140 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 6 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 84 +0.1% -9.4% 2% 1% -9.0%
all 110 -1.8% -11.1% 8% 7% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 7% -8.9%
10% -19.6% 5% -17.6%
15% -27.4% 4% -25.6%
20% -34.5% 2% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 346 history records