Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:42:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x2571…3f3d
crypto · 258 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$54 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses151 / 103
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions4
Markets (closed)254 / 258
History coverage20d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day51.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 4 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$27
14 days−$26
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka England 99¢ 100¢ $34 $34 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 71¢ 80¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? No 68¢ 61¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-10%)
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 +$7 +28%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $80 −$2 -2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $25 +$5 +19%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $15 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $25 +$7 +28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 +$2 +18%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$3 -60%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +29%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Peru (-1.5) Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Union Espanola vs. Union San Felipe: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $10 +$1 +11%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $5 $0 +6%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 +$6 +62%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $5 +$1 +19%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $20 +$3 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $20 +$7 +33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +3%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 −$7 -70%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 06 $5 +$1 +12%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $5 $0 -7%
Romania vs. Wales: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $5 $0 +7%
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $10 +$32 +312%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 −$1 -8%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? Jun 06 $4 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $7 $0 -6%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? Jun 06 $6 −$5 -72%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 06 $8 −$1 -13%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 1-7? Jun 06 $2 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Jun 06 $2 $0 -19%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 06 $4 −$1 -26%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Jun 06 $14 +$6 +42%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 06 $2 $0 -17%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 06 $8 +$6 +77%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $18 −$4 -24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $8 −$8 -89%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 06 $103 −$11 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 06 $57 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$68
sports 28% +$16
other 9% −$2
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 99¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 99¢ $2 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 99¢ $2 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 100¢ $2 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 99¢ $2 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 66¢ $5 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 68¢ $5 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 72¢ $5 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 75¢ $5 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? BUY No 68¢ $5 12h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 89¢ $2 15h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 99¢ $2 16h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 99¢ $2 16h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 100¢ $2 16h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 100¢ $1 16h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 99¢ $0 16h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 99¢ $1 16h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 99¢ $1 16h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 99¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -10.2% -18.8% 53% 30% -13.2%
≤30d 254 -1.2% -10.6% 59% 35% -12.7%
≤90d 254 -1.2% -10.6% 59% 35% -12.7%
all 254 -1.2% -10.6% 59% 35% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 35% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 20% -21.0%
15% -27.0% 11% -28.7%
20% -34.2% 7% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.88 · official $60.88 (match) · 1123 history records