trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +92.5% | +74.2% | 67% | 67% | +41.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +29.9% | +17.6% | 50% | 50% | +28.7% |
| ≤90d | 61 | +26.6% | +14.5% | 41% | 41% | +13.1% |
| all | 84 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 31% | 31% | +0.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.1% | 31% | +0.3% |
| 10% | -23.2% | 30% | -9.3% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 29% | -18.1% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 29% | -26.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 42¢ | 40¢ | $3,000 | $2,862 | −$138 (-5%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 20¢ | $1,009 | $2,049 | +$1,040 (+103%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 26¢ | $1,015 | $1,517 | +$502 (+49%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $754 | $629 | −$126 (-17%) |
| China coup attempt before 2027? | Yes | 9¢ | 4¢ | $276 | $116 | −$160 (-58%) |
| Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $335 | $11 | −$324 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $511 | +$1,572 | +307% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $2,025 | +$1,423 | +70% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Jun 25 | $1,015 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1,006 | −$984 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,108 | −$1,087 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,732 | +$1,268 | +73% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1,022 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $781 | +$1,719 | +220% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $778 | −$760 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $3,499 | +$4,501 | +129% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 11 | $1,033 | −$1,008 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 07 | $267 | −$260 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 05 | $812 | −$812 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 05 | $855 | −$840 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $522 | +$1,078 | +206% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $400 | +$646 | +162% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $1,127 | +$1,673 | +148% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $1,072 | −$1,053 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $539 | +$1,061 | +197% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Apr 30 | $150 | −$149 | -99% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Apr 30 | $508 | −$500 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 | Apr 30 | $527 | −$520 | -99% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 29 | $1,049 | −$1,037 | -99% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $738 | +$1,030 | +140% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $272 | −$272 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 25 | $495 | −$484 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 25 | $416 | −$410 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $702 | +$1,849 | +263% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 24 | $716 | −$700 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 23 | $500 | −$493 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 23 | $300 | −$296 | -99% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 22 | $200 | −$195 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $180 | +$1,280 | +711% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $450 | +$776 | +172% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $300 | +$648 | +216% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 19 | $50 | −$49 | -97% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $900 | +$1,157 | +129% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 19 | $300 | +$211 | +70% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 18 | $400 | +$536 | +134% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 17 | $320 | −$320 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 15 | $500 | −$493 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Apr 13 | $200 | +$827 | +414% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 13 | $150 | +$663 | +442% |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Apr 12 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 11 | $298 | −$298 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Apr 11 | $250 | −$243 | -97% |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Apr 11 | $100 | −$97 | -97% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Apr 11 | $200 | +$360 | +180% |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Apr 11 | $100 | +$414 | +414% |