Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x2547…4bc1
crypto · 380 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$114 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses322 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)380 / 380
History coverage6d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day126.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 380 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$114
14 days−$114
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$7 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $18 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 380 -0.6% -10.1% 85% 3% -10.3%
≤30d 380 -0.6% -10.1% 85% 3% -10.3%
≤90d 380 -0.6% -10.1% 85% 3% -10.3%
all 380 -0.6% -10.1% 85% 3% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 3% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -18.9%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1006 history records