Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x2540…d68f
crypto · 990 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$366 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$366 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$366
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses532 / 458
Open positions0
Markets (closed)990 / 990
History coverage12d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day249.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 990 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$131
7 days−$141
14 days−$366
30 days−$366
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$366
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 461 -9.3% -17.9% 55% 35% -14.0%
≤30d 990 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 44% -15.4%
≤90d 990 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 44% -15.4%
all 990 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 44% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover249.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 44% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 37% -23.5%
15% -32.1% 30% -30.9%
20% -38.8% 11% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records