Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x251c…541f
crypto · 123 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,180 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,180 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$314
Realized−$2,180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses66 / 158
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)224 / 123
Avg bet$241
Trades / day3378.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,180
7 days−$2,180
14 days−$2,180
30 days−$2,180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 75¢ 74¢ $256 $250 −$7 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 26¢ $63 $64 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$166
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-49.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -44.4% -49.7% 29% 15% -15.8%
≤30d 224 -44.4% -49.7% 29% 15% -15.8%
≤90d 224 -44.4% -49.7% 29% 15% -15.8%
all 224 -44.4% -49.7% 29% 15% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3378.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.7% 15% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -54.5% 4% -23.8%
15% -58.9% 1% -31.2%
20% -62.9% 0% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $313.50 · official $313.50 (match) · 3500 history records