Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:27:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x251c…f714
other · 32 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses1 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage77d
Avg bet$450
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 14 $41 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $1,082 −$2 -0%
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Seri Jun 14 $26 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $1,085 −$2 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $67 +$1 +1%
Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 13 $1,144 −$1 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? Jun 13 $15 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $1,127 −$2 -0%
Will Sebastian Korda be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 12 $1,182 −$1 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $1,096 $0 +0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $1,201 −$2 -0%
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial May 09 $104 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 09 $36 $0 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 09 $24 $0 -0%
Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? May 04 $773 −$1 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $61 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 04 $800 −$1 -0%
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 04 $790 −$1 -0%
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 03 $47 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 03 $22 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 03 $810 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 03 $778 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $811 −$1 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 02 $12 $0 -1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 02 $741 −$1 -0%
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 02 $153 $0 -0%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 02 $68 $0 -0%
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 02 $21 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Mar 30 $168 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 30 $53 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Mar 30 $21 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 45% −$9
other 36% −$7
sports 7% −$2
world 6% −$1
tech 5% −$1
crypto 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $41 1h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,081 1h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,020 1h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $16 5h
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Seri SELL No 100¢ $26 5h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $25 5h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $27 5h
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $807 5h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $35 5h
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $276 5h
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Seri BUY No 100¢ $26 6h
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,085 6h
Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL No 100¢ $1,142 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $11 38h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $15 38h
Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $1,115 38h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $15 39h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $840 39h
Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $28 39h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $57 39h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $285 44h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,127 45h
Will Sebastian Korda be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL No 100¢ $1,181 2d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $40 2d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $9 2d
Will Sebastian Korda be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $1,127 2d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $19 2d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 2d
Will Sebastian Korda be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $33 2d
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $836 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.0% -9.6% 8% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 12 -0.0% -9.6% 8% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 32 -0.1% -9.6% 3% 0% -9.6%
all 32 -0.1% -9.6% 3% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 105 history records