Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T14:53:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
25 0x2519…0e97 crypto 27 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$9 (+3%) realized +$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate74%20W / 7L
Drawdown69%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day53.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -16.5% -24.4% 74% 19% -8.1%
≤30d 27 -16.5% -24.4% 74% 19% -8.1%
≤90d 27 -16.5% -24.4% 74% 19% -8.1%
all 27 -16.5% -24.4% 74% 19% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.4% 19% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.7% 15% -16.9%
15% -38.3% 4% -24.9%
20% -44.3% 4% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -30% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.44 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.25 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses20 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 27 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 20 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 20 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 20 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 20 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 20 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 20 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 20 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 20 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $17 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 78 history records