Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:13:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x250f…4fc6
crypto · 970 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,761 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,138 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,138
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses509 / 461
Est. fees paid−$61
Open positions0
Markets (closed)970 / 970
History coverage7d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day438.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 970 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$137
7 days−$1,138
14 days−$1,138
30 days−$1,138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$11 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$11 +117%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $111 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$11 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$12 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$12 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$11 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $77 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$11 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$13 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$12 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$906
sports 22% −$234
finance 1% $0
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 10m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 55¢ $55 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 13m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 53¢ $26 15m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 54¢ $27 15m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 54¢ $27 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 54¢ $27 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 56¢ $3 17m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 56¢ $3 17m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 56¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 56¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 57¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 57¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 57¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 57¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 57¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 57¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 57¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 56¢ $3 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 56¢ $3 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 970 -6.2% -15.1% 52% 48% -17.4%
≤30d 970 -6.2% -15.1% 52% 48% -17.4%
≤90d 970 -6.2% -15.1% 52% 48% -17.4%
all 970 -6.2% -15.1% 52% 48% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover438.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 48% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 46% -25.3%
15% -30.7% 43% -32.5%
20% -37.5% 27% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records