Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:43:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x250d…7b5f
crypto · 375 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$349 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$340 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$340
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses148 / 223
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions4
Markets (closed)371 / 375
History coverage42d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days−$86
30 days−$322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 18¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Team WE 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$6 +194%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$9 +180%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 01 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 01 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 01 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -94%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 31 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $20 +$5 +23%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $2 +$7 +320%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $10 +$5 +48%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $40 +$6 +16%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $10 +$8 +79%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 28 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 28 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 28 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 28 $10 −$10 -96%
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winner May 28 $40 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 28 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 28 $21 +$37 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 28 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 28 $7 +$22 +298%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 28 $43 +$23 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 28 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 28 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 28 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 28 $21 +$11 +54%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championshi May 28 $8 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoff May 28 $8 −$8 -99%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $8 +$4 +54%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $8 +$28 +340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 28 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 28 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 28 $11 −$1 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$410
sports 27% +$59
other 0% +$7
weather 0% +$2
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $5 15m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 20¢ $3 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $3 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 8¢ $1 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $9 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $3 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 29h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 29h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 30h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 24¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $42 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 12d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner BUY Nongshim Red Force 20¢ $10 12d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY JD Gaming 62¢ $10 12d
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Secret Whales 66¢ $10 12d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL JD Gaming 100¢ $25 12d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Red Force 18¢ $5 12d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY JD Gaming 81¢ $20 13d
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 11¢ $5 13d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 21¢ $5 13d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 18¢ $5 13d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $9 13d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 23¢ $2 13d
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) BUY Paris Saint-Germain FC 8¢ $1 13d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 13d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $15 13d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 67¢ $10 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-28.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +43.5% +29.8% 50% 50% +107.2%
≤30d 324 -19.9% -27.5% 39% 36% -20.8%
≤90d 371 -20.6% -28.2% 40% 37% -20.9%
all 371 -20.6% -28.2% 40% 37% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.2% 37% -20.9%
10% -35.1% 33% -28.5%
15% -41.3% 27% -35.4%
20% -47.1% 23% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.60 · official $4.60 (match) · 690 history records