Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x250c…2774
crypto · 383 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,955 +121%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,268 · open +$176
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2,115
Realized+$1,268
Unrealized+$176
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses57 / 156
Open positions337
Markets (closed)213 / 383
Avg bet$6
Trades / day315.8
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 337 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days+$511
14 days+$1,268
30 days+$1,268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 2¢ 5¢ $26 $71 +$46 (+179%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $46 $60 +$15 (+32%)
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 4¢ 11¢ $18 $52 +$34 (+186%)
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $56 $50 −$6 (-11%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $58 $38 −$20 (-35%)
Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 1¢ 32¢ $1 $31 +$30 (+3125%)
Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $24 $31 +$7 (+28%)
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes 2¢ 5¢ $11 $30 +$19 (+172%)
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $41 $29 −$11 (-28%)
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June? Yes 1¢ 9¢ $3 $28 +$25 (+755%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+30%)
Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 24¢ 26¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+6%)
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? Yes 9¢ 24¢ $9 $24 +$15 (+167%)
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 2¢ 8¢ $6 $24 +$18 (+300%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $9 $22 +$13 (+150%)
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $18 $22 +$4 (+22%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 3¢ 16¢ $4 $22 +$18 (+433%)
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? Yes 1¢ 6¢ $5 $21 +$16 (+337%)
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $8 $20 +$12 (+150%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 3¢ 6¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+95%)
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes 19¢ 26¢ $14 $19 +$5 (+34%)
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? Yes 3¢ 7¢ $9 $18 +$10 (+108%)
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? Yes 3¢ 10¢ $6 $18 +$12 (+211%)
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $44 $17 −$27 (-60%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on November 13? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 1 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Solana reach $110 in March? Jun 12 $12 +$2 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 21 Jun 12 $1 +$4 +301%
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 29 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 17 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Jun 12 $43 −$10 -24%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 7? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 10? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 8? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 7? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 4? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 6? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 27? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 14? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 8 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 28? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Citrea FDV above $80M one day after launch? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Solana reach $150 in January? Jun 12 $0 +$18 +9272%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 17? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 27? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 11? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on December 15? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 28? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 1 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 30? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $2.70 on November 1? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $380 before 2026?? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? Jun 12 $0 +$10 +3931%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 15 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 19? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 25? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 70 ETH in 2025? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 25? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ethena reach $0.20 in February? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -69%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 23? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Gold (GC) settle over $3,600 on the final trading day of January Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ne Zha 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 17? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 11 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Emily Blunt win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 47% +$1,191
other 45% +$193
tech 5% +$99
finance 4% +$39
weather 0% +$1
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will XRP reach $2.00 in June? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 3m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 202 BUY Yes 1¢ $0 18m
Will Morgan Wallen be the top Spotify artist for 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 20m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 26m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 26m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 26m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 26m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 27m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 27m
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 28m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 28m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 28m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 28m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 28m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 30m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 30m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 30m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 33m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 37m
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 48m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 50m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 56m
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+51.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 +39.3% +26.0% 22% 21% -17.2%
≤30d 213 +67.7% +51.7% 27% 24% +25.5%
≤90d 213 +67.7% +51.7% 27% 24% +25.5%
all 213 +67.7% +51.7% 27% 24% +25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover315.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +51.7% 24% +25.5%
10% ← realistic here +37.2% 21% +13.5%
15% +23.9% 18% +2.6%
20% +11.8% 17% -7.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,114.85 · official $2,114.83 (match) · 3500 history records