Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T04:42:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
24 0x24c9…b17e crypto 510 markets active 0h ago coverage 81d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 80d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$4,614 (+1%) realized +$4,614 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%509W / 1L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown10%max
Avg bet$663per market
Trades / day36.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$111
7 days+$183
14 days+$283
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,742
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 3% -8.2%
≤30d 94 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 510 +1.1% -8.6% 100% 1% -8.5%
all 510 +1.1% -8.6% 100% 1% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 1% -8.5%
10% -17.3% 0% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -25.3% 0% -25.3%
20% -32.6% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$891) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$396 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×10.45 per $1 lost it wins $10.45
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

81d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,614
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses509 / 1
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)510 / 510
History coverage81d ⚠
Avg bet$663
Trades / day36.5
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 510 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 23 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 23 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $393 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 23 $339 +$61 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 23 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 22 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 22 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 21 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 21 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 20 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 19 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $396 +$4 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $396 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $393 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $223 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $145 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $339 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $396 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $396 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $396 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $396 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $396 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $396 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $396 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records