Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x24bf…b006
sports · 102 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$109 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$109 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$255
Realized+$109
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses61 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$133
Open positions6
Markets (closed)96 / 102
History coverage44d
Avg bet$185
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 6 History 96 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$214
7 days+$630
14 days+$986
30 days+$826
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Los Angeles Thieves 78¢ 78¢ $169 $170 +$1 (+1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $42 $42 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 20¢ 18¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-7%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 28¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs AM Gaming 42¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 47¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Rocket League: NRG Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs NRG Esports 71¢ $517 $0 −$517 (-100%)
LoL: GTZ Esports vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season ZeroZone Gaming 33¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 33¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 68¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs MIBR 56¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 41¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 58¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
Rocket League: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - RLCS Major Paris Group C Ninjas in Pyjamas 50¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group D UNiTY esports 50¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Will EC Bahia vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? No 76¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs 1WIN 67¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw? No 66¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Under 15¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs Tricked 64¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage SPARTA 62¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs eternal premium 25¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $73 +$80 +109%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $102 +$28 +27%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $98 −$96 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $30 −$20 -67%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $101 +$44 +44%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $202 +$80 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $193 +$115 +60%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 11 $18 −$18 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $28 −$28 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $12 +$9 +79%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $100 +$14 +14%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $65 +$9 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 09 $64 −$63 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 09 $64 −$63 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $328 +$124 +38%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $62 +$29 +46%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $167 +$60 +36%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 09 $66 −$65 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs The Otter Side (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swi Jun 08 $253 +$43 +17%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qu Jun 08 $65 +$26 +40%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $168 +$70 +42%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 07 $334 +$117 +35%
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifi Jun 07 $64 +$45 +70%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 07 $167 +$29 +17%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 06 $297 +$63 +21%
Will Belgium vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 06 $150 +$23 +16%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Pla Jun 06 $67 +$40 +60%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $79 −$77 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $97 +$111 +114%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Clo Jun 06 $132 −$130 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 06 $102 +$25 +24%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 05 $165 +$116 +70%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Gamers Jun 05 $62 −$61 -99%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 05 $68 +$27 +40%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $444 +$287 +65%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playo Jun 03 $89 −$87 -98%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $708 +$131 +18%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Sta Jun 02 $71 +$56 +79%
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Sta Jun 02 $386 +$57 +15%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 02 $102 +$99 +97%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group St Jun 01 $239 −$235 -98%
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 01 $41 −$40 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $620 +$15 +2%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $97 +$57 +60%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 31 $204 −$202 -99%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $125 −$123 -99%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 30 $742 +$266 +36%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $159 −$157 -99%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $172 +$111 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$336
other 19% +$445
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $42 50m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $15 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $11 13h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Los Angeles Thieves 78¢ $171 13h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 20¢ $13 19h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 78¢ $102 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $73 29h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 26¢ $14 30h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 26¢ $21 30h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 26¢ $21 30h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 26¢ $21 30h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 26¢ $21 30h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 37¢ $18 47h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 69¢ $101 47h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $22 2d
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Team Heretics Academy 70¢ $101 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $90 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $103 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 BUY Under 15¢ $3 2d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $8 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 33¢ $28 2d
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Team Heretics Academy 72¢ $101 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $12 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 87¢ $100 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $64 3d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY KOLESIE 57¢ $64 3d
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series BUY Ground Zero 87¢ $65 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY Young Ninjas 53¢ $66 3d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY XLG Gaming 72¢ $42 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.7% -10.1% 69% 69% +8.8%
≤30d 78 -3.0% -12.3% 63% 60% -4.1%
≤90d 96 -4.8% -13.9% 64% 60% -9.0%
all 96 -4.8% -13.9% 64% 60% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 60% -9.0%
10% -22.1% 41% -17.7%
15% -29.7% 32% -25.6%
20% -36.6% 18% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $255.03 · official $255.03 (match) · 234 history records