Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:50:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x24b8…b8e7
tech · 9 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses1 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 74¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 14 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Jun 14 $1 $0 -8%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 14 $1 $0 -2%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2 $0 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 36% −$5
tech 29% $0
sports 21% $0
world 7% $0
finance 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -15.5% -23.5% 11% 0% -45.5%
≤30d 9 -15.5% -23.5% 11% 0% -45.5%
≤90d 9 -15.5% -23.5% 11% 0% -45.5%
all 9 -15.5% -23.5% 11% 0% -45.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.5% 0% -45.5%
10% -30.8% 0% -50.7%
15% -37.5% 0% -55.5%
20% -43.6% 0% -59.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records