trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 20% | 0% | -11.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 22% | 0% | -12.7% |
| all | 27 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 30% | 0% | -14.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 0% | -14.5% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -22.7% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -30.2% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -37.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $33 | $33 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 25 | $35 | −$2 | -7% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 24 | $34 | −$3 | -8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 24 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 24 | $18 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $44 | −$6 | -14% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 16 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | Dec 07 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Oct 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Oct 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 11 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 10 | $3 | $0 | -1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Oct 09 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? | Oct 09 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 08 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 08 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Oct 08 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? | Oct 07 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Oct 06 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 06 | $13 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 202 | Oct 05 | $16 | −$14 | -91% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 02 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 01 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Oct 01 | $12 | $0 | +0% |