Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x24a6…ff1e
crypto · 67 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$91 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses34 / 33
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day54.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$91
14 days−$91
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$11 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 45% -26.0%
≤30d 67 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 45% -26.0%
≤90d 67 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 45% -26.0%
all 67 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 45% -26.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 45% -26.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 39% -33.1%
15% -29.2% 33% -39.6%
20% -36.1% 22% -45.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.36 · official $0.00 (match) · 189 history records