trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -21.7% | -29.1% | 44% | 44% | -5.4% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +3.2% | -6.7% | 54% | 54% | +6.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 57% | 50% | +6.6% |
| all | 185 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 52% | 37% | -13.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.2% | 37% | -13.8% |
| 10% | -26.1% | 30% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -33.2% | 25% | -29.6% |
| 20% | -39.8% | 17% | -36.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 87¢ | 94¢ | $167 | $181 | +$14 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $149 | +$18 | +12% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $337 | −$129 | -38% |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $15 | −$10 | -63% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $392 | −$97 | -25% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $347 | +$46 | +13% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $263 | +$84 | +32% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$19 | -91% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $101 | −$19 | -19% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $261 | +$119 | +46% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $18 | +$22 | +123% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$4 | +34% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $14 | −$1 | -4% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $299 | +$247 | +83% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Feb 10 | $720 | −$720 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 10 | $792 | +$5 | +1% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | Feb 10 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Nets | Feb 10 | $300 | +$111 | +37% |
| Bucks vs. Magic | Feb 10 | $1,415 | +$89 | +6% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Feb 10 | $1,715 | $0 | -0% |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Feb 08 | $1,585 | +$331 | +21% |
| Nuggets vs. Bulls | Feb 08 | $1,366 | +$219 | +16% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Feb 07 | $847 | +$518 | +61% |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Feb 07 | $459 | −$305 | -66% |
| Heat vs. Celtics | Feb 07 | $500 | +$194 | +39% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Feb 06 | $500 | −$188 | -38% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | Feb 06 | $1,068 | +$79 | +7% |
| Hornets vs. Rockets | Feb 06 | $300 | −$290 | -97% |
| Bulls vs. Raptors | Feb 06 | $1,044 | +$14 | +1% |
| Wizards vs. Pistons | Feb 06 | $110 | −$51 | -46% |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Feb 05 | $720 | −$273 | -38% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Feb 05 | $1,214 | −$13 | -1% |
| Celtics vs. Rockets | Feb 05 | $700 | −$494 | -70% |
| 76ers vs. Warriors | Feb 04 | $250 | +$365 | +146% |
| Nuggets vs. Pistons | Feb 04 | $1,938 | −$129 | -7% |
| Jazz vs. Pacers | Feb 04 | $500 | +$285 | +57% |
| Bulls vs. Bucks | Feb 04 | $100 | −$23 | -23% |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | Feb 03 | $10 | −$9 | -87% |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | Feb 03 | $1,884 | −$193 | -10% |
| Rockets vs. Pacers | Feb 03 | $1,646 | +$7 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Feb 03 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Feb 02 | $1,836 | +$83 | +4% |
| Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 02 | $1,831 | +$6 | +0% |
| Nets vs. Pistons | Feb 02 | $1,300 | +$12 | +1% |
| Jazz vs. Raptors | Feb 02 | $200 | +$128 | +64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Feb 01 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Rockets | Feb 01 | $1,700 | +$57 | +3% |
| Bulls vs. Heat | Feb 01 | $100 | +$113 | +112% |
| Pelicans vs. 76ers | Feb 01 | $606 | +$48 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Jan 31 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |